TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
172%X17%212%
Tier BHome win72% · Market-based
—no edge claim
171%X16%213%
Tier BHome win71% · Market-based
—no edge claim
169%X18%213%
Tier BHome win69% · Market-based
—no edge claim
158%X23%219%
Tier BHome win58% · Market-based
—no edge claim
154%X25%221%
Tier BHome win54% · Market-based
—no edge claim
123%X25%252%
Tier BAway win52% · Market-based
—no edge claim
150%X25%225%
Tier BHome win50% · Market-based
—no edge claim
146%X26%228%
Tier BHome win46% · Market-based
—no edge claim
142%X28%230%
Tier BHome win42% · Market-based
—no edge claim
140%X26%234%
Tier BHome win40% · Market-based
—no edge claim
133%X26%240%
Tier BAway win40% · Market-based
—no edge claim
134%X27%239%
Tier BAway win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
139%X27%234%
Tier BHome win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
135%X26%239%
Tier BAway win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
137%X26%237%
Tier CAway win37% · Baseline
—no reference market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
158%X21%222%
Tier BHome win58% · Market-based
—no edge claim
151%X23%225%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
-0.1%vs 1X2 market
147%X24%229%
Tier BHome win47% · Market-based
—no edge claim
147%X24%228%
Tier AHome win47% · Full model
+0.1%vs 1X2 market
130%X25%245%
Tier AAway win45% · Full model
-1.1%vs 1X2 market
135%X25%241%
Tier AAway win41% · Full model
-0.6%vs 1X2 market
136%X24%240%
Tier BAway win40% · Market-based
—no edge claim
140%X24%236%
Tier BHome win40% · Market-based
—no edge claim
139%X26%236%
Tier BHome win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
135%X26%239%
Tier BAway win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
138%X25%238%
Tier BAway win38% · Market-based
—no edge claim
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
154%X24%222%
Tier AHome win54% · Full model
—no reference market
151%X27%222%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
—no reference market
151%X26%222%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
—no reference market
148%X27%225%
Tier AHome win48% · Full model
—no reference market
146%X26%228%
Tier AHome win46% · Full model
—no reference market
126%X29%245%
Tier AAway win45% · Full model
—no reference market
143%X25%232%
Tier CHome win43% · Baseline
—no reference market
143%X25%232%
Tier CHome win43% · Baseline
—no reference market
143%X27%230%
Tier AHome win43% · Full model
—no reference market
143%X25%232%
Tier CHome win43% · Baseline
—no reference market
143%X25%232%
Tier CHome win43% · Baseline
—no reference market
143%X25%232%
Tier CHome win43% · Baseline
—no reference market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
154%X24%222%
Tier BHome win54% · Market-based
—no edge claim
121%X25%254%
Tier AAway win54% · Full model
-0.4%vs 1X2 market
148%X25%227%
Tier AHome win48% · Full model
+1.2%vs 1X2 market
147%X26%227%
Tier AHome win47% · Full model
-0.1%vs 1X2 market
129%X25%246%
Tier AAway win46% · Full model
-0.3%vs 1X2 market
144%X25%231%
Tier AHome win44% · Full model
+0.5%vs 1X2 market
143%X27%230%
Tier BHome win43% · Market-based
—no edge claim
141%X24%235%
Tier BHome win41% · Market-based
—no edge claim
140%X25%236%
Tier BHome win40% · Market-based
—no edge claim
135%X26%239%
Tier BAway win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
138%X26%236%
Tier BHome win38% · Market-based
—no edge claim
137%X27%236%
Tier AHome win37% · Full model
+0.2%vs 1X2 market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
168%X19%212%
Tier AHome win68% · Full model
-0.9%vs 1X2 market
160%X22%218%
Tier AHome win60% · Full model
+0.7%vs 1X2 market
149%X24%227%
Tier BHome win49% · Market-based
—no edge claim
148%X25%227%
Tier BHome win48% · Market-based
—no edge claim
147%X25%228%
Tier AHome win47% · Full model
+0.6%vs 1X2 market
147%X25%228%
Tier BHome win47% · Market-based
—no edge claim
147%X24%229%
Tier BHome win47% · Market-based
—no edge claim
145%X25%230%
Tier BHome win45% · Market-based
—no edge claim
143%X26%231%
Tier AHome win43% · Full model
-0.2%vs 1X2 market
133%X27%240%
Tier AAway win40% · Full model
-1.1%vs 1X2 market
138%X28%234%
Tier AHome win38% · Full model
+0.2%vs 1X2 market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
154%X24%222%
Tier AHome win54% · Full model
+0.1%vs 1X2 market
152%X23%226%
Tier BHome win52% · Market-based
—no edge claim
151%X26%224%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
-0.7%vs 1X2 market
149%X26%225%
Tier BHome win49% · Market-based
—no edge claim
148%X26%227%
Tier AHome win48% · Full model
+0.4%vs 1X2 market
148%X25%227%
Tier BHome win48% · Market-based
—no edge claim
145%X25%229%
Tier AHome win45% · Full model
-0.7%vs 1X2 market
133%X25%242%
Tier BAway win42% · Market-based
—no edge claim
142%X25%233%
Tier AHome win42% · Full model
-2.0%vs 1X2 market
140%X27%233%
Tier AHome win40% · Full model
+0.6%vs 1X2 market
138%X27%234%
Tier AHome win38% · Full model
+0.2%vs 1X2 market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
159%X22%219%
Tier AHome win59% · Full model
-1.7%vs 1X2 market
151%X24%224%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
-0.3%vs 1X2 market
149%X23%228%
Tier BHome win49% · Market-based
—no edge claim
127%X25%248%
Tier BAway win48% · Market-based
—no edge claim
146%X25%229%
Tier BHome win46% · Market-based
—no edge claim
145%X25%230%
Tier BHome win45% · Market-based
—no edge claim
134%X25%241%
Tier AAway win41% · Full model
0.0%vs 1X2 market
140%X26%234%
Tier AHome win40% · Full model
-1.3%vs 1X2 market
138%X26%236%
Tier BHome win38% · Market-based
—no edge claim
138%X26%236%
Tier AHome win38% · Full model
0.0%vs 1X2 market
138%X26%237%
Tier AHome win38% · Full model
+3.0%vs 1X2 market
TimeMatch & formMatch resultPublished forecast1X2 gap
152%X25%224%
Tier BHome win52% · Market-based
—no edge claim
151%X25%224%
Tier AHome win51% · Full model
+2.3%vs 1X2 market
146%X25%229%
Tier BHome win46% · Market-based
—no edge claim
146%X26%228%
Tier AHome win46% · Full model
-0.9%vs 1X2 market
130%X26%244%
Tier BAway win44% · Market-based
—no edge claim
143%X26%231%
Tier AHome win43% · Full model
+2.1%vs 1X2 market
133%X25%242%
Tier BAway win42% · Market-based
—no edge claim
140%X25%236%
Tier AHome win40% · Full model
+2.0%vs 1X2 market
139%X26%235%
Tier BHome win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
136%X25%239%
Tier BAway win39% · Market-based
—no edge claim
137%X25%238%
Tier AAway win38% · Full model
+0.3%vs 1X2 market