Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 26% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.00 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merthyr Town win35%2.862.6034.5%—
Draw26%3.853.5025.6%—
Hednesford win39%2.562.2539.9%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50%
Total expected goals3.00Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%
Away share of expected goals 50%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMerthyr Town
LLWLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchHednesford
DWWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Win probability excluding draw
39%3
Points from supplied form
131.50
Expected goals
1.50Merthyr TownHednesford
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Merthyr Town win 35%，Draw 26%，Hednesford win 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.00 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over。