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ENG Inghilterra - National League Nord · Partita ·

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa35%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite39%
Market-based forecastVittoria ospiteTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Merthyr TownHednesford
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra57% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
35% / 26% / 39%Esito partitaVittoria ospite39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doppia Chance1274.5%1.34
Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%Goals 2.5Sopra57%1.75
Sì 61% · No 39%Entrambe le squadre segnano61%1.64
3.00 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merthyr Town win35%2.862.6034.5%
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.6%
Hednesford win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Merthyr Town1.50

Casa share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 57% · Sotto 43%

Hednesford1.50

Trasferta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 61% · No 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Merthyr Town

0.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punti3

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Hednesford

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vinta probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.50
Merthyr TownHednesford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Merthyr Town signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hednesford signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Merthyr Town vinta 35%,Pareggio 26%,Hednesford vinta 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Sopra 2.5 57% · Current selection Sopra