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ENG England - National League North · Kamp ·

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr35%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr39%
Market-based forecastUdesejrTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Merthyr TownHednesford
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
35% / 26% / 39%KampresultatUdesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dobbeltchance1274.5%1.34
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Begge hold scorerJa61%1.64
3.00 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merthyr Town win35%2.862.6034.5%
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.6%
Hednesford win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Merthyr Town1.50

Hjemme share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Hednesford1.50

Ude share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Merthyr Town

0.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Point3

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Hednesford

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Vundet probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.50
Merthyr TownHednesford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Merthyr Town signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hednesford signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Merthyr Town vundet 35%,Uafgjort 26%,Hednesford vundet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over