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ENG Anglicko - National League North · Zápas ·

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich35%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí39%
Market-based forecastVýhra hostíTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Merthyr TownHednesford
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac57% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
35% / 26% / 39%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dvojitá šanca1274.5%1.34
Viac 57% · Menej 43%Goals 2.5Viac57%1.75
Áno 61% · Nie 39%Oba tímy skórujúÁno61%1.64
3.00 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.0 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merthyr Town win35%2.862.6034.5%
Remíza26%3.853.5025.6%
Hednesford win39%2.562.2539.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Merthyr Town1.50

Domáci share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 57% · Menej 43%

Hednesford1.50

Hostia share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 61% · Nie 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Merthyr Town

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Hednesford

2.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Výhra probability excluding draw
39%
3
Points from supplied form
13
1.50
Expected goals
1.50
Merthyr TownHednesford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Merthyr Town signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hednesford signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Merthyr Town vs Hednesford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Merthyr Town výhra 35%,Remíza 26%,Hednesford výhra 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Viac 2.5 57% · Current selection Viac