Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 27% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStockton Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ilkeston Town win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Stockton Town win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.2%
Total expected goals2.36Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%
Away share of expected goals 45.8%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchIlkeston Town
DLDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchStockton Town
LDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
71.28
Expected goals
1.08Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Ilkeston Town win 38%，Draw 27%，Stockton Town win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under。