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ENG Αγγλία - Βόρεια Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Ίλκεστον Τάουν vs Στόκτον Τάουν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου32%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ίλκεστον ΤάουνΣτόκτον Τάουν
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 30% / 32%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.1%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1269.9%1.43
Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%Goals 2.5Κάτω58%1.72
Ναι 48% · Όχι 52%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ίλκεστον Τάουν win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία30%3.33
Στόκτον Τάουν win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ίλκεστον Τάουν1.28

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%

Στόκτον Τάουν1.08

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 48% · Όχι 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ίλκεστον Τάουν

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Στόκτον Τάουν

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ίλκεστον ΤάουνΣτόκτον Τάουν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ίλκεστον Τάουν signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Στόκτον Τάουν signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Ίλκεστον Τάουν vs Στόκτον Τάουν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ίλκεστον Τάουν νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 30%,Στόκτον Τάουν νίκη 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Άνω 2.5 42% · Current selection Κάτω