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ENG Angleterre - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 27% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStockton Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ilkeston Town win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Stockton Town win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Domicile share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Extérieur share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town victoire 38%,Nul 27%,Stockton Town victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de