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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Spiel ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg34%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 27% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Doppelte Chance1272.7%1.38
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStockton Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ilkeston Town win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Stockton Town win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Heim share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 27%,Stockton Town Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter