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Leek Town vs Whitby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leek TownWhitby
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 25% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Doppelte Chance1274.7%1.34
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapLeek Town winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leek Town win45%2.221.9546.1%-1.1 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Whitby win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leek Town1.18

Heim share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%

Whitby1.07

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Leek Town

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Whitby

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.18
Expected goals
1.07
Leek TownWhitby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leek Town signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Whitby signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Leek Town vs Whitby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leek Town Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 25%,Whitby Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter