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ENG England Northern Premier League · Kamp ·

Leek Town vs Whitby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier45%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier29%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Leek TownWhitby
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
45% / 25% / 29%KampresultatHjemmeseier45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dobbel sjanse1274.7%1.34
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapLeek Town winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leek Town win45%2.221.9546.1%-1.1 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Whitby win29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leek Town1.18

Hjemme share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Whitby1.07

Borte share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Leek Town

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Whitby

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
29%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.18
Expected goals
1.07
Leek TownWhitby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leek Town signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Whitby signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Leek Town vs Whitby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leek Town vunnet 45%,Uavgjort 25%,Whitby vunnet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under