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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Spiel ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg25%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 26% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alfreton Town win (25%)Doppelte Chance1X75%1.33
Über 46% · Unter 54%Goals 2.5Unter54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenJa50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Curzon Ashton win49%2.041.8050%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.7%
Alfreton Town win25%4.003.7024.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.48

Heim share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 46% · Unter 54%

Alfreton Town1.03

Auswärts share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.48
Expected goals
1.03
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 26%,Alfreton Town Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Über 2.5 46% · Current selection Unter