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ENG Англия - Северная Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Керзон Аштон vs Олфретон Таун

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей25%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Керзон АштонОлфретон Таун
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 26% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Олфретон Таун win (25%)Двойной шанс1X75%1.33
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Керзон Аштон win49%2.041.8050%
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%
Олфретон Таун win25%4.003.7024.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Керзон Аштон1.48

Хозяева share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Олфретон Таун1.03

Гости share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Керзон Аштон

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Олфретон Таун

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.48
Expected goals
1.03
Керзон АштонОлфретон Таун
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Керзон Аштон signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Олфретон Таун signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Керзон Аштон vs Олфретон Таун FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Керзон Аштон выигрыш 49%,Ничья 26%,Олфретон Таун выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше