Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 26% / 25%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alfreton Town win (25%)Double chance1X75%1.33
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Curzon Ashton win49%2.041.8050%—
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%—
Alfreton Town win25%4.003.7024.3%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 41%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchCurzon Ashton
DLWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAlfreton Town
DWDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalAway unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
25%5
Points from supplied form
91.48
Expected goals
1.03Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Curzon Ashton win 49%，Draw 26%，Alfreton Town win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。