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ENG Angleterre - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile49%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur25%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
49% / 26% / 25%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alfreton Town win (25%)Double chance1X75%1.33
Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%Goals 2.5Moins de54%1.85
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Curzon Ashton win49%2.041.8050%
Nul26%3.853.5025.7%
Alfreton Town win25%4.003.7024.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.48

Domicile share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 46% · Moins de 54%

Alfreton Town1.03

Extérieur share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gagné probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.48
Expected goals
1.03
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalExtérieur unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton victoire 49%,Nul 26%,Alfreton Town victoire 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Plus de 2.5 46% · Current selection Moins de