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ENG Angleterre - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de56% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 25% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%Goals 2.5Plus de56%1.79
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsScore exact1–2
9.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Nul25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Lancaster City win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Domicile share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 56% · Moins de 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Extérieur share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd victoire 42%,Nul 25%,Lancaster City victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Plus de 2.5 56% · Current selection Plus de