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ENG England Northern Premier League · Trận đấu ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng42%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng33%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài56% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
42% / 25% / 33%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Cơ hội kép1275.1%1.33
Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%Goals 2.5Tài56%1.79
Có 56% · Không 44%Cả hai đội ghi bàn56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
9.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Hòa25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Lancaster City win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 56% · Xỉu 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Khách share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 56% · Không 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Điểm8

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Thắng probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd thắng 42%,Hòa 25%,Lancaster City thắng 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Tài 2.5 56% · Current selection Tài