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ENG Αγγλία - Βόρεια Πρέμιερ Λιγκ · Αγώνας ·

Άστον Γιουν. vs Λάνκαστερ Σίτι

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου42%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου33%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Άστον Γιουν.Λάνκαστερ Σίτι
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
42% / 25% / 33%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1275.1%1.33
Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%Goals 2.5Άνω56%1.79
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapΆστον Γιουν. winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Άστον Γιουν. win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Λάνκαστερ Σίτι win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Άστον Γιουν.1.07

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 56% · Κάτω 44%

Λάνκαστερ Σίτι1.85

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Άστον Γιουν.

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λάνκαστερ Σίτι

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Άστον Γιουν.Λάνκαστερ Σίτι
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Άστον Γιουν. signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λάνκαστερ Σίτι signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Άστον Γιουν. vs Λάνκαστερ Σίτι FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Άστον Γιουν. νίκη 42%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Λάνκαστερ Σίτι νίκη 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Άνω 2.5 56% · Current selection Άνω