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ENG Inglaterra - Northern Premier League · Partido ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 25% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doble Oportunidad1275.1%1.33
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
9.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Empate25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Lancaster City win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Local share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Visitante share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd ganada 42%,Empate 25%,Lancaster City ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de