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ENG Англия - Северна Висша лига · Мач ·

Аштън Юн vs Ланкастър Сити

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен25%
Победа за госта33%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Аштън ЮнЛанкастър Сити
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 25% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двоен шанс1275.1%1.33
Над 56% · Под 44%Goals 2.5Над56%1.79
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapАштън Юн winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аштън Юн win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Равен25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Ланкастър Сити win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аштън Юн1.07

Домакин share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 56% · Под 44%

Ланкастър Сити1.85

Гост share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аштън Юн

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ланкастър Сити

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Аштън ЮнЛанкастър Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аштън Юн signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ланкастър Сити signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Аштън Юн vs Ланкастър Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аштън Юн печеливш 42%,Равен 25%,Ланкастър Сити печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Над 2.5 56% · Current selection Над