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ENG 英格蘭北部超級聯賽 · ·

阿斯頓聯 vs 蘭卡斯特城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
25%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score1–2阿斯頓聯蘭卡斯特城
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.556% for the selected side
雙方進球56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 25% / 33%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)雙勝彩1275.1%1.33
大 56% · 小 44%Goals 2.556%1.79
是 56% · 否 44%雙方進球56%1.79
2.92 total expected goals正確比分1–2
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gap阿斯頓聯 winDifference-2.4 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
阿斯頓聯 win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
蘭卡斯特城 win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿斯頓聯1.07

主隊 share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 56% · 44%

蘭卡斯特城1.85

客隊 share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 56% · 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿斯頓聯

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

蘭卡斯特城

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
阿斯頓聯蘭卡斯特城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿斯頓聯 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02蘭卡斯特城 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

阿斯頓聯 vs 蘭卡斯特城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿斯頓聯 42%, 25%,蘭卡斯特城 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · 大2.5 56% · Current selection