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ENG Англия - Северная Премьер-лига · Матч ·

Аштон Юнайтед vs Ланкастер Сити

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев35%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–2Аштон ЮнайтедЛанкастер Сити
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
35% / 26% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Двойной шанс1274.3%1.35
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapАштон Юнайтед winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аштон Юнайтед win35%2.862.4536.8%-1.8 pp
Ничья26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Ланкастер Сити win39%2.562.4037.5%+1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аштон Юнайтед1.07

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Ланкастер Сити1.85

Гости share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аштон Юнайтед

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Ланкастер Сити

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Аштон ЮнайтедЛанкастер Сити
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аштон Юнайтед signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ланкастер Сити signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Аштон Юнайтед vs Ланкастер Сити FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аштон Юнайтед выигрыш 35%,Ничья 26%,Ланкастер Сити выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше