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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.92 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ashton UtdLancaster City
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 25% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbelchans1275.1%1.33
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
9.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapAshton Utd winDifference-2.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ashton Utd win42%2.382.0044.4%-2.4 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Lancaster City win33%3.032.8830.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ashton Utd1.07

Hemma share of expected goals 36.6%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Lancaster City1.85

Borta share of expected goals 63.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ashton Utd

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Lancaster City

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
10
1.07
Expected goals
1.85
Ashton UtdLancaster City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ashton Utd signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lancaster City signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ashton Utd vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 25%,Lancaster City vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över