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ENG England - Northern Premier League · Match ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger25%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 26% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alfreton Town win (25%)Dubbelchans1X75%1.33
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Båda lagen gör målJa50%2.00
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Curzon Ashton win49%2.041.8050%
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.7%
Alfreton Town win25%4.003.7024.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.48

Hemma share of expected goals 59%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Alfreton Town1.03

Borta share of expected goals 41%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalBorta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.48
Expected goals
1.03
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalBorta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 26%,Alfreton Town vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under