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ENG Anglie - Northern Premier League · Zápas ·

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích42%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů31%
Baseline forecastVýhra domácíchTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně54% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
42% / 27% / 31%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dvojitá šance1273.2%1.37
Více 46% · Méně 54%Goals 2.5Méně54%1.85
Ano 51% · Ne 49%Oba týmy skórujíAno51%1.96
2.50 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Curzon Ashton win42%2.38
Remíza27%3.70
Alfreton Town win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Curzon Ashton1.36

Domácí share of expected goals 54.4%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 46% · Méně 54%

Alfreton Town1.14

Hosté share of expected goals 45.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 51% · Ne 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Curzon Ashton

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Alfreton Town

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalHosté unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.36
Expected goals
1.14
Curzon AshtonAlfreton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Curzon Ashton signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alfreton Town signalHosté unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Curzon Ashton vs Alfreton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Curzon Ashton výhra 42%,Remíza 27%,Alfreton Town výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Více 2.5 46% · Current selection Méně