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ENG Engeland - Northern Premier League · Wedstrijd ·

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst38%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst34%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
38% / 27% / 34%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Dubbele Kans1272.7%1.38
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapStockton Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ilkeston Town win38%2.632.3538.2%-0.2 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.3027.2%-0.2 pp
Stockton Town win34%2.942.6034.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ilkeston Town1.28

Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

Stockton Town1.08

Uit share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ilkeston Town

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Stockton Town

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.28
Expected goals
1.08
Ilkeston TownStockton Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ilkeston Town signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stockton Town signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ilkeston Town vs Stockton Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ilkeston Town gewonnen 38%,Gelijkspel 27%,Stockton Town gewonnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder