What is the Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 43%.

What are the Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford 1X2 probabilities?

Hemel Hempstead win 43%, draw 26%, and Chelmsford win 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford?

The displayed projection is 2.34 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 41%.

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UTC+8

ENG England National League South · Round 1 · Sat, Aug 8, 22:00

Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–12.34 expected goals

Away form

Home win43%

Draw26%

Away win31%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 43% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win43% selection probability

Projected score1–1Hemel Hempstead — Chelmsford

Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile

Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side

Expected corners9.3Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

43% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win43%2.33

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35

Over 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69

Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92

2.34 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapChelmsford winDifference-0.3 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Hemel Hempstead win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp

Draw26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Chelmsford win31%3.232.8831.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hemel Hempstead1.28

Home share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 41% · Under 59%

Chelmsford1.06

Away share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileLow-scoring

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Hemel Hempstead

1.80pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Chelmsford

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

43%

Win probability excluding draw

31%

Points from supplied form

1.28

Expected goals

1.06

Hemel HempsteadChelmsford

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hemel Hempstead signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chelmsford signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions