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ENG England National League South · Round 1 ·

Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır43%
Beraberlik26%
Deplasman kazanır31%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Hemel HempsteadChelmsford
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
43% / 26% / 31%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Çifte Şans1274%1.35
Üst 41% · Alt 59%Goals 2.5Alt59%1.69
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapChelmsford winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hemel Hempstead win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Chelmsford win31%3.232.8831.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hemel Hempstead1.28

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 41% · Alt 59%

Chelmsford1.06

Deplasman share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Hemel Hempstead

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Chelmsford

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.06
Hemel HempsteadChelmsford
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hemel Hempstead signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chelmsford signalEv Sahibi unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Hemel Hempstead vs Chelmsford FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hemel Hempstead kazanç 43%,Beraberlik 26%,Chelmsford kazanç 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 2.5 Üst 41% · Current selection Alt