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ENG イングランド ナショナルリーグ・サウス · Round 1 ·

ヘメル・ヘンプステッド vs チェルムスフォード

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利31%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1ヘメル・ヘンプステッドチェルムスフォード
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 26% / 31%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)ダブルチャンス1274%1.35
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 48% · いいえ 52%両チーム得点いいえ52%1.92
2.34 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapチェルムスフォード winDifference-0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ヘメル・ヘンプステッド win43%2.332.1042.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
チェルムスフォード win31%3.232.8831.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ヘメル・ヘンプステッド1.28

ホーム share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

チェルムスフォード1.06

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 48% · いいえ 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ヘメル・ヘンプステッド

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn3Losses0ポイント9

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

チェルムスフォード

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.06
ヘメル・ヘンプステッドチェルムスフォード
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ヘメル・ヘンプステッド signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02チェルムスフォード signalホーム unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ヘメル・ヘンプステッド vs チェルムスフォード FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ヘメル・ヘンプステッド 勝ち 43%,引き分け 26%,チェルムスフォード 勝ち 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー