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ENG 英格蘭全國聯賽 南部 · Round 1 ·

赫默爾亨普斯特德 vs 查斯福特城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
27%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1赫默爾亨普斯特德查斯福特城
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.559% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 27% / 33%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)雙重機會1273.3%1.36
大 41% · 小 59%Goals 2.559%1.69
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.34 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
赫默爾亨普斯特德 win40%2.502.2540.1%-0.1 pp
27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
查斯福特城 win33%3.032.7033.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

赫默爾亨普斯特德1.28

主隊 share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 41% · 59%

查斯福特城1.06

客隊 share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

赫默爾亨普斯特德

1.80pts / match
5Wins2Drawn3Losses0積分9

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

查斯福特城

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.06
赫默爾亨普斯特德查斯福特城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01赫默爾亨普斯特德 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02查斯福特城 signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

赫默爾亨普斯特德 vs 查斯福特城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

赫默爾亨普斯特德 40%, 27%,查斯福特城 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · 大2.5 41% · Current selection