Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 22% / 18%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Farnborough win (17.6%)Double chance1X82.4%1.21
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maidstone Utd win60%1.671.5059.7%+0.3 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Farnborough win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals3.62Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%
Away share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchMaidstone Utd
WWDWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFarnborough
WLWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
18%13
Points from supplied form
92.53
Expected goals
1.09Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Maidstone Utd win 60%，Draw 22%，Farnborough win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over。