Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Double chance1274.9%1.34
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapDorking winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorking win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Draw25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Dag & Red win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.5%
Total expected goals2.91Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 37.5%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchDorking
LWDLL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchDag & Red
LDLDL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%4
Points from supplied form
21.82
Expected goals
1.09DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Dorking win 47%，Draw 25%，Dag & Red win 28%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。