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ENG Anglie - National League - Jih · Zápas ·

Dorking vs Dag & Red

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích47%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDag & Red
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více56% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
47% / 27% / 26%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dag & Red win (25.9%)Dvojitá šance1X74.1%1.35
Více 56% · Méně 44%Goals 2.5Více56%1.79
Ano 56% · Ne 44%Oba týmy skórujíAno56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
10.0 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Dorking win47%2.13
Remíza27%3.70
Dag & Red win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Domácí share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 56% · Méně 44%

Dag & Red1.09

Hosté share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 56% · Ne 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Dag & Red

0.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Body2

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dag & Red signalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking výhra 47%,Remíza 27%,Dag & Red výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Více 2.5 56% · Current selection Více