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ENG Inglaterra - National League South · Partido ·

Dorking vs Dag & Red

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante28%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score2–1DorkingDag & Red
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 25% / 28%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doble Oportunidad1274.9%1.34
Más de 56% · Menos de 44%Goals 2.5Más de56%1.79
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.91 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.3%Largest probability gapDorking winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dorking win47%2.131.9546.5%+0.5 pp
Empate25%4.003.6025.2%-0.2 pp
Dag & Red win28%3.573.2028.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dorking1.82

Local share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 56% · Menos de 44%

Dag & Red1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Dorking

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Dag & Red

0.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puntos2

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
28%
4
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.09
DorkingDag & Red
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dorking signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dag & Red signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Dorking vs Dag & Red FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dorking ganada 47%,Empate 25%,Dag & Red ganada 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Más de 2.5 56% · Current selection Más de