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ENG Angleterre - National League South · Match ·

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile60%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur18%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile60% selection probability
Projected score3–1Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Expected goals3.62Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
60% / 22% / 18%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Farnborough win (17.6%)Double chance1X82.4%1.21
Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%Goals 2.5Plus de70%1.43
Oui 61% · Non 39%Les deux équipes marquentOui61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maidstone Utd win60%1.671.5059.7%+0.3 pp
Nul22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Farnborough win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maidstone Utd2.53

Domicile share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 70% · Moins de 30%

Farnborough1.09

Extérieur share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 61% · Non 39%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Maidstone Utd

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Farnborough

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gagné probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maidstone Utd signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Farnborough signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maidstone Utd victoire 60%,Nul 22%,Farnborough victoire 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Plus de 2.5 70% · Current selection Plus de