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ENG England - National League South · Match ·

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–13.62 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger60%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger18%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger60% selection probability
Projected score3–1Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Expected goals3.62Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
60% / 22% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Farnborough win (17.6%)Dubbelchans1X82.4%1.21
Över 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Över70%1.43
Ja 61% · Nej 39%Båda lagen gör målJa61%1.64
3.62 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maidstone Utd win60%1.671.5059.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Farnborough win18%5.565.0017.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maidstone Utd2.53

Hemma share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.62Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 70% · Under 30%

Farnborough1.09

Borta share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nej 39%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Maidstone Utd

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Farnborough

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
13
Points from supplied form
9
2.53
Expected goals
1.09
Maidstone UtdFarnborough
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maidstone Utd signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Farnborough signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Maidstone Utd vs Farnborough FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maidstone Utd vunnen 60%,Oavgjort 22%,Farnborough vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Över 2.5 70% · Current selection Över