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ENG England EFL Cup · Fixture ·

Wolverhampton vs Port Vale

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw16%
Away win13%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 71% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–1WolverhamptonPort Vale
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 16% / 13%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Port Vale win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.78 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wolverhampton win71%1.411.2574.2%
Draw16%6.256.5014.3%
Port Vale win13%7.698.0011.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wolverhampton1.87

Home share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Port Vale0.91

Away share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wolverhampton

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Port Vale

2.25pts / match
Played4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.87
Expected goals
0.91
WolverhamptonPort Vale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wolverhampton signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Port Vale signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Wolverhampton vs Port Vale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wolverhampton win 71%,Draw 16%,Port Vale win 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over