Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
53% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wrexham win (22.1%)Double chance1X77.9%1.28
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Middlesbrough win53%1.891.7054.8%—
Draw25%4.003.8024.5%—
Wrexham win22%4.554.5020.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.71Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.50pts / matchMiddlesbrough
DL
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1
SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchWrexham
LLWWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Win probability excluding draw
22%1
Points from supplied form
71.61
Expected goals
1.10MiddlesbroughWrexham
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Middlesbrough vs Wrexham FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Middlesbrough win 53%，Draw 25%，Wrexham win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。