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ENG England - Ligacupen · Match ·

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger22%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score2–1MiddlesbroughWrexham
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 25% / 22%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wrexham win (22.1%)Dubbelchans1X77.9%1.28
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Båda lagen gör målJa55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Middlesbrough win53%1.891.7054.8%
Oavgjort25%4.003.8024.5%
Wrexham win22%4.554.5020.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Middlesbrough1.61

Hemma share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Wrexham1.10

Borta share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Middlesbrough

0.50pts / match
Spelade2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Poäng1

SignalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Wrexham

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
22%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.61
Expected goals
1.10
MiddlesbroughWrexham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Middlesbrough signalBorta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Wrexham signalBorta clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Middlesbrough vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 25%,Wrexham vunnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över