Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 24% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alvechurch win (24.2%)Double chance1X75.8%1.32
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapKettering winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kettering win51%1.961.7351.7%-0.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Alvechurch win24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.9%
Total expected goals2.52Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 40.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchKettering
LDDWW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAlvechurch
DDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%8
Points from supplied form
51.51
Expected goals
1.01KetteringAlvechurch
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Kettering vs Alvechurch FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Kettering win 51%，Draw 24%，Alvechurch win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。