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ENG England National League · Round 1 ·

Woking vs Sutton Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw26%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1WokingSutton Utd
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 22%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sutton Utd win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Woking win51%1.96
Draw26%3.85
Sutton Utd win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Woking1.92

Home share of expected goals 67.1%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Sutton Utd0.94

Away share of expected goals 32.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Woking

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sutton Utd

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
1
1.92
Expected goals
0.94
WokingSutton Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Woking signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sutton Utd signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Woking vs Sutton Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Woking win 51%,Draw 26%,Sutton Utd win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over