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ENG England Southern Premier League Central · Fixture ·

Bury Town vs Halesowen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw25%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Bury TownHalesowen
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 25% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bury Town win34%2.942.6034.1%-0.1 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.6%+0.4 pp
Halesowen win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bury Town1.23

Home share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Halesowen1.42

Away share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bury Town

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Halesowen

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.42
Bury TownHalesowen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bury Town signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Halesowen signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Bury Town vs Halesowen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bury Town win 34%,Draw 25%,Halesowen win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under