Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
72% / 17% / 12%Match resultHome win72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Northampton win (11.6%)Double chance1X88.4%1.13
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leicester win72%1.391.2574.6%—
Draw17%5.886.0015.5%—
Northampton win12%8.339.509.8%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 68.2%
Total expected goals2.77Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%
Away share of expected goals 31.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.25pts / matchLeicester
LDWD
Played4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Points5
SignalAway failed to score: 2/2
Away-context · form sequence
0.50pts / matchNorthampton
DL
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1
SignalNo recent signal
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
72%
Win probability excluding draw
12%5
Points from supplied form
11.89
Expected goals
0.88LeicesterNorthampton
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.
Match questions
Leicester vs Northampton FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Leicester win 72%，Draw 17%，Northampton win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.77 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over。