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レスター vs ノーサンプトン

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利72%
引き分け17%
アウェイ勝利12%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 72% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利72% selection probability
Projected score2–1レスターノーサンプトン
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
72% / 17% / 12%試合結果ホーム勝利72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ノーサンプトン win (11.6%)ダブルチャンス1X88.4%1.13
オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%Goals 2.5オーバー54%1.85
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.77 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
レスター win72%1.391.2574.6%
引き分け17%5.886.0015.5%
ノーサンプトン win12%8.339.509.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レスター1.89

ホーム share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 54% · アンダー 46%

ノーサンプトン0.88

アウェイ share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レスター

1.25pts / match
試合数4Wins1Drawn2Losses1ポイント5

Signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/2

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ノーサンプトン

0.50pts / match
試合数2Wins0Drawn1Losses1ポイント1

Signalいいえ recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
勝ち probability excluding draw
12%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.88
レスターノーサンプトン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レスター signalアウェイ failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ノーサンプトン signalいいえ recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

レスター vs ノーサンプトン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レスター 勝ち 72%,引き分け 17%,ノーサンプトン 勝ち 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · オーバー 2.5 54% · Current selection オーバー