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ENG Engeland - EFL Cup · Wedstrijd ·

Leicester vs Northampton

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst72%
Gelijkspel17%
Uitwinst12%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 72% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst72% selection probability
Projected score2–1LeicesterNorthampton
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven54% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
72% / 17% / 12%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Northampton win (11.6%)Dubbele Kans1X88.4%1.13
Boven 54% · Onder 46%Goals 2.5Boven54%1.85
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leicester win72%1.391.2574.6%
Gelijkspel17%5.886.0015.5%
Northampton win12%8.339.509.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leicester1.89

Thuis share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 54% · Onder 46%

Northampton0.88

Uit share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Leicester

1.25pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Punten5

SignalUit failed to score: 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Northampton

0.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Punten1

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
12%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.88
LeicesterNorthampton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leicester signalUit failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Northampton signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Leicester vs Northampton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leicester gewonnen 72%,Gelijkspel 17%,Northampton gewonnen 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Boven 2.5 54% · Current selection Boven