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ENG Англия - Купа на Лигата · Мач ·

Лестър vs Нортхямптън

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина72%
Равен17%
Победа за госта12%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 72% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина72% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛестърНортхямптън
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
72% / 17% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Нортхямптън win (11.6%)Двоен шанс1X88.4%1.13
Над 54% · Под 46%Goals 2.5Над54%1.85
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Лестър win72%1.391.2574.6%
Равен17%5.886.0015.5%
Нортхямптън win12%8.339.509.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лестър1.89

Домакин share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 54% · Под 46%

Нортхямптън0.88

Гост share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Лестър

1.25pts / match
Изиграни4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Точки5

SignalГост failed to score: 2/2

Гост-context · form sequence

Нортхямптън

0.50pts / match
Изиграни2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Точки1

SignalНе recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.88
ЛестърНортхямптън
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лестър signalГост failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Нортхямптън signalНе recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Лестър vs Нортхямптън FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лестър печеливш 72%,Равен 17%,Нортхямптън печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Над 2.5 54% · Current selection Над