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ENG Αγγλία - EFL Κύπελλο · Αγώνας ·

Λέστερ vs Νορθάμπτον

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου72%
Ισοπαλία17%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου12%
Market-based forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier B · 72% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου72% selection probability
Projected score2–1ΛέστερΝορθάμπτον
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
72% / 17% / 12%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου72%1.39
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Νορθάμπτον win (11.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X88.4%1.13
Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%Goals 2.5Άνω54%1.85
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.77 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Λέστερ win72%1.391.2574.6%
Ισοπαλία17%5.886.0015.5%
Νορθάμπτον win12%8.339.509.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Λέστερ1.89

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 68.2%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 54% · Κάτω 46%

Νορθάμπτον0.88

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 31.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Λέστερ

1.25pts / match
Αγώνες4Wins1Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι5

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/2

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νορθάμπτον

0.50pts / match
Αγώνες2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι1

SignalΌχι recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
72%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
12%
5
Points from supplied form
1
1.89
Expected goals
0.88
ΛέστερΝορθάμπτον
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Λέστερ signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νορθάμπτον signalΌχι recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk28% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Λέστερ vs Νορθάμπτον FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 72% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Λέστερ νίκη 72%,Ισοπαλία 17%,Νορθάμπτον νίκη 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Άνω 2.5 54% · Current selection Άνω