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ENG England Isthmian Premier Division · Fixture ·

Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–24.69 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw23%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score3–2Brentwood TownBurgess Hill Town
Expected goals4.69Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over85% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes81% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 23% / 25%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.3%)Double chance1276.7%1.30
Over 85% · Under 15%Goals 2.5Over85%1.18
Yes 81% · No 19%Both teams scoreYes81%1.23
4.69 total expected goalsCorrect score3–2
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Brentwood Town win51%1.961.7551.4%-0.4 pp
Draw23%4.353.8023.7%-0.7 pp
Burgess Hill Town win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brentwood Town2.61

Home share of expected goals 55.7%

Total expected goals4.69Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 85% · Under 15%

Burgess Hill Town2.08

Away share of expected goals 44.3%

Projected score3–2BTTS splitYes 81% · No 19%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Brentwood Town

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Burgess Hill Town

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
11
Points from supplied form
12
2.61
Expected goals
2.08
Brentwood TownBurgess Hill Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brentwood Town signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Burgess Hill Town signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Brentwood Town vs Burgess Hill Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brentwood Town win 51%,Draw 23%,Burgess Hill Town win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.69 · Over 2.5 85% · Current selection Over