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ENG England Isthmian Premier Division · Fixture ·

St Albans vs Chatham Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Away form
Home win30%
Draw25%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–1St AlbansChatham Town
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
30% / 25% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.57 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapChatham Town winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Albans win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Chatham Town win45%2.221.9545.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Albans1.36

Home share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Chatham Town1.21

Away share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

St Albans

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Chatham Town

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.36
Expected goals
1.21
St AlbansChatham Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Albans signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chatham Town signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

St Albans vs Chatham Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Albans win 30%,Draw 25%,Chatham Town win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under