Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 18% / 13%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Swindon win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.76 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin7.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cardiff win69%1.451.3071.5%—
Draw18%5.565.5016.9%—
Swindon win13%7.698.0011.6%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.7%
Total expected goals2.76Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%
Away share of expected goals 33.3%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCardiff
WWLLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchSwindon
L
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
69%
Win probability excluding draw
13%9
Points from supplied form
01.84
Expected goals
0.92CardiffSwindon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Cardiff vs Swindon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Cardiff win 69%，Draw 18%，Swindon win 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.76 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over。